I know its early but there appears to be some momentum behind Dems tightening up the ballot. Maybe Republican overreach at every level of Govn't is wearing thin on the voters and some who considered themselves tea party grassroots folks are fuming Tea Party Patriots and other "grassroots" organizations run by GOP operatives took their money and ran.
According to TPM here PPP is showing Dems edging ahead 45%(D) to 41%(R), Democracy Corps is showing a tightening at 46%(D) to 48%(R) and even Rasmussen, whom Nate Silver from NYT's Fivethirtyeight blog showed had a bad Republican bias in their polling, is showing 39%(D) to 45%(R).
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